Lapse in Monsoon Leaves India’s Grain Bowls High and Dry; May Impact Food Output, Prices

Lapse in Monsoon Leaves India’s Grain Bowls High and Dry; May Impact Food Output, Prices

India depends on the monsoon for 75% of its annual rainfall, but the country’s grain-producing northern, western, and central regions, have received only 2% – 10% of normal rainfall in recent days.  In mid-July rainfall had increased bringing an alarming 43% rainfall deficit to a 16% deficit. However, over the past two weeks rainfall has ebbed, widening the overall rainfall deficit for the entire country to 18%.  Overall this is not critical, but conditions are worse in grain producing regions.  In Punjab and Haryana the rainfall deficit is in excess of 60% and the Indian Meteorological Department forecasts significant rainfall only in the east and northeast in the coming days.  In Punjab 95% of the farms have irrigation capabilities, but it Haryana this number is only 60%.  Even with irrigation, cost of production is forecast to increase because of the need to use the systems. To read more about the latest information regarding the Indian monsoon:

 

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