Climate models indicate that an El Nino weather pattern is developing in the Pacific which would cause further problems for Brazil’s sugarcane, coffee and orange crops but would create the perfect season for the country’s next soy crop. El Nino has not materialized since 2009 however weather forecasters are claiming that there is a 75% chance that it will return around June of this year. For Brazil’s central-south region wet weather in the last crushing season will reduce the sugar content in the cane and would pose the worst possible conditions for the quality and ability to harvest coffee, citrus and sugarcane, however the rains in June and July would prove ideal for soy. Brazil is just now emerging from its hottest and driest summer on record in the southeast which likely cut the current coffee crop by 11% and cut sugarcane by 25 million tons.
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